Posts Tagged ‘FOMC statement’

Market recap for week ending 5/03/2013

Posted on: May 3rd, 2013 by Fred Bohman No Comments

At the time I am writing this, mortgage interest rates are less than 1/8th of a percent higher than they were last Friday.

There was a lot of financial news this week. The Federal Reserve Board (FED) had their Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) on Tuesday and Wednesday. After the meeting they came out with a policy statement. Their statement said that the economy is still not growing at the pace they want to see so they will continue their assets purchase program to try and stimulate the economy. This is good news for interest rates since they are purchasing mortgage bonds which causes interest rates to stay low. Another topic brought up in their statement was deflation. Up until this point there has been concern that the continued printing of money would cause inflation, but now that concern has flipped. Deflation means that goods are becoming less expensive compared to the dollar. This might sound like a good thing, but it can actually cause problems in the economy.

Yesterday the European Central Bank(ECB) lowered their base lending rate from 0.75% to 0.5%. At this point most of the Euro zone is back in a recession and the lowering of the rate is an attempt to stimulate the economy.

This week was employment week with the unemployment claims on Thursday and the employment report on Friday. The unemployment claims figure showed that claims dropped 18K. The employment report showed that unemployment rate dropped to 7.5% from 7.6% rate. The job creation numbers were stronger than expected especially since the ADP estimates earlier in the week were low. The report was a surprisingly strong report compared to most other economic report lately that have been showing the economy softening. This was a setback for rates, but I believe we might see more negative reports next week which will help out rates again.

All eyes and ears on the FOMC statement this week.

Posted on: March 12th, 2012 by Fred Bohman No Comments

Mortgage rate outlook and market preview for the week starting March 12th 2012.

This week we have a FOMC meeting followed by a statement, 5 relevant US economic reports, and some Treasury auctions. It will be interesting to see the statement after the FOMC meeting tomorrow as the members seem to be divide on how our economy is doing and what needs to be done. Some members are calling for rates to be raised before the 2014 mark which was set at the last meeting, and other are calling for more quantitative easing which would keep rates low. The economic reports being released this week are PPI and CPI, Philly Fed business index (expected to have improved in March), Feb retail sales (+0.7%), and Feb data on manufacturing with industrial production and capacity utilization.

As far as Europe and their debt crisis, Greece got its bail out money so it could avoid a default, but many are still considering it a default because of the large write down bond holders had to agree to. At the time I am writing this the 10 year US Treasury bond yield is just over 2% and is still in the narrow trading range it has been stuck in since November. Unless there are any shocking announcements made after Tuesday’s FOMC meeting I don’t see mortgage rates moving much this week. As I have said before I think we have seen the low for mortgage rates, but I don’t think they are moving higher for a while.